Yesterday’s off year election held relatively few major contests of national importance, but in all of them we get insights into how Americans evaluate the Trump 2.0 administration: the governor races in Virginia and New Jersey; the mayor’s race in New York City, and Proposition 50 in California. In 2024, President Trump’s main campaign issue was the economy. He promised to lower prices, which means an inflation rate of under 0%. Polls consistently show that the economy is still the main issue for most voters. Democrats ran two moderate female candidates for these two governorships: Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey and Abigail Spanberger in Virginia. Both Democrat candidates painted their Republican opponents as defenders of Trump’s economic policies. The president strongly endorsed the Republican candidate in New Jersey and mildly endorsed Winsome Earle-Sears, the GOP candidate in Virginia. Trump had lost New Jersey by only 6% in 2024 and Republicans hoped they could win the governor’s race this time. Their hopes were dashed as Mikie Sherrill won her governor’s race by 13%. A big factor was the return of Hispanic/Latino voters (by more than 15%) to the Democratic fold in Passaic County. Spanberger’s rate of victory in Virginia was even larger: 57-42% as voters expressed their disapproval of the cuts to the federal employees.
The New York City mayoral race was quite different. The Democratic candidate, Zohran Mamdani, who identifies himself as a Democrat Socialist, easily defeated his opponents Andrew Cuomo, a former Democratic Governor of the state of New York, and Curtis Sliwa, the Republican candidate, with rates of 50%, 41%, 8% rates respectively, Trump was so opposed to Mamdani that he endorsed Cuomo, a Democrat who ran as an Independent.
Three “Democratic” Justices on Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court were up for re-election yesterday. Alhough the GOP put in millions of dollars to defeat them, each was retained with a 60% rate.
Proposition 50 was the only item on California’s ballot. A record number of voters turned out and approved it by a wide margin. It allows for a special re-drawing of California’s districts to offset the Republican gerrymandering of House districts in Texas. Official Score: Governor Newsome 1, Trump 0.
All in all, it was a massive victory for Democrats yesterday. It turns out that Trump’s unfavorable policies and character flaws were the biggest factors in turning out the record-setting Democratic vote. How should Trump respond? While we have life and breath, we can repent and “turn away from our wicked ways”. Here are some suggestions.
- Mature people assume responsibility for their mistakes and their defeats. Mr. President, be a man. Take ownership for yesterday’s big, blue wave. Don’t throw a toddler’s temper tantrum of crying out about “rigged elections” or “weak Republican candidates”. The opinion polls about you and your policies being underwater turned out to be very accurate (even Fox News polling aligns with these national polls).
- Recognize that you do not have much art of the deal in economic issues (you have a track record of multiple bankrupticies). Your tariffs have not lowered inflation. Quite the contrary has happened. Perhaps the Supreme Court will rule that your tariffs are, in fact, illegal and not just ineffective.
- Twelve years ago you said that a weak president is always responsible for a federal shutdown. I agree with your comments at that time. Tell your senators to approve an extension to the ACA subsidies and end the shutdown now.
- Do not use SNAP funding as a political weapon. 42 million citizens and their food supplies are being seriously and negatively affected.
- Stop pushing for more gerrymandering in red states.
- Congress has the “power of the purse”. Since they have already approved huge construction projects in New York, New Jersey, and other blue states, do not not block them.
The list goes on and on. You might not save your presidency, but you can reduce the harm done to the American people.
Lindy Scott 