Tag: campaign promises

Buyer’s Remorse Regarding Trump, Part 2: It is Harder to Govern than to Make Campaign Promises

Donald Trump 2.0 has finished one week into his second presidency. He signed a flurry of executive orders and made several presidential decisions. Many of these were popular with his base, but some were not. In my post last week, I suggested that his blanket pardon of the January 6 rioters (including those convicted of assault against police officers) was not popular with the U.S. public. Only 21% of North Americans approved of that decision. In fact, some of his supporters are showing signs of buyer’s remorse. What about his other decisions? Will they increase his support or lead to greater dissatisfaction. Let’s explore some of them.

The War in Gaza

I begin with giving credit where credit is due. Even before his second inauguration had occurred, Trump’s team worked together with Biden’s people to pressure Netanyahu to agree to the tenuous ceasefire and prisoner/hostage release with Hamas. The ceasefire has held so far. Why did Trump support the Biden plan?  Trump had bragged that he was Negotiator-in-Chief and could end any war. Kudos to Trump, but the road ahead will not be easy. Will he be able to help negotiate a long-lasting peace that is fair for both the Israelis and the Palestinian people? Or will his administration get bogged down by a never-ending conflict in the Middle East? His suggestion that two million Palestinians leave Gaza does not sound fair nor just.

Russia’s War Against Ukraine

Candidate Trump had promised that he would end the war in Ukraine by his first day in office. Of course, this did not happen. Those that voted for him should either feel some buyer’s remorse or that they were utterly naïve to believe his false promises.

FEMA, North Carolina and California

To his credit, Trump visited the hard-hit areas of North Carolina (hurricanes last fall) and Los Angeles (wildfires during January). Nevertheless, he made comments that raised significant concerns. He suggested that in the future, emergency aid would become a responsibility of the states and not of the national government through its Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).. The possible elimination of FEMA did not sit well with most Americans who have come to believe that emergency relief is primarily a duty of the federal government. For each state to maintain a large, stand-by emergency workforce would be inefficient and extremely costly.

Immigration/Birthright Citizenship

Trump made many decisions regarding immigration. He ordered that babies born in the U.S. to undocumented immigrants would not have an automatic right to citizenship. This is a clear violation of the 14th Amendment to our Constitution which does grant that right to everyone born in our country. The president’s order was immediately blocked by Federal Judge John Coughenour (who had been appointed by former president Reagan) who declared Trump’s action to be “blatantly unconstitutional”. Trump also affirmed that “we are the only country in the world that grants birthright citizenship”. This is a LIE! Dozens of countries permit birthright citizenship. I know because our three children were born in Mexico and have Mexican citizenship (even though neither my wife nor I are Mexicans).

Immigration/Scapegoating

We have a long sad history of scapegoating foreign immigrants, falsely blaming them for many evils they did not commit and not acknowledging how they toiled under difficult conditions to build our country. We did this to the Irish, the Italians, the Jews, the Chinese, the Mexicans, and many more. We continue to do this today with undocumented immigrants. They work night and day on our farms, in our hotels and factories, or in construction. They pay sales tax, income tax, Social Security tax, real estate tax, and other taxes, yet we accuse them for the failures of our economy. They are blamed for the crime in our streets, even though police records consistently show their crime rate is much lower than those born in the United States.  President Trump has said he will deport nine million undocumented immigrants. This would lead to skyrocketing inflation, especially for groceries. As more and more citizens realize that scapegoating is ethically cruel and economically inaccurate, buyer’s remorse will rise.

Tariffs

Nations place tariffs upon certain products from other countries, usually to punish another country or to protect a national industry. The use of tariffs almost never works and almost always raises prices for consumers. It is the opposite of free market capitalism. Trump has promised to levy 25% tariffs on products from Mexico and Canada and 50% on some from China. The overwhelming majority of economists disagree with the president. They affirm this would greatly increase inflation. On Sunday, Trump and Colombia’s President Gustavo Preto had a conflict on Sunday as Petro refused to receive Colombian immigrants who were being deported. Both presidents slapped a 25% tariff on the other country. It appears that last night the disagreement had been resolved. If the tariffs were to take effect, coffee prices in the U.S. would skyrocket.

Trump campaigned on lowering prices on groceries, rent, and gasoline. He has more recently tried to walk this back and has acknowledged, “It is really hard to lower prices”. He is now making a more modest promise of “lowering the rate of inflation”. The following political affirmation is quite true regarding the criteria used to evaluate a president: “It’s the economy, stupid”. If Trump lowers inflation, most citizens will give him a good grade, but if inflation rises, so will buyer’s remorse.

In my next post, I will analyze the morality/immorality of Trump’s executive orders.

Trump is Unbelievable! (Part 2) The facts won’t allow us to believe his promises about the budget

In my post yesterday, I addressed Trump’s failed attempt to resolve the “border crisis”. In his 2016 presidential campaign, he promised to build a wall along the 2000-mile U.S. border with Mexico. In fact, he only constructed 52 miles of new wall.

Today I will shine the light on his grandiose claims for the U.S. economy. He affirmed that during his presidency (2017-2021), our country’s economy was the most successful in the history of the world. He promised that during a second term, he would unleash the economy and it would grow even faster. He promised to cut taxes for the wealthy, just like he did in his first term. Although he has made these fantastic, unbelievable affirmations, he has conveniently chosen to omit talking about the budget. What happened to our national budget and our national debt during Trump’s presidency? What happens when you cut your income (via tax breaks for the rich) and continue to spend like a drunken sailor? Here is the sad truth.

Fact #1 – The national debt increased more under Trump than in any other four-year presidential term (Source – The U.S. Department of the Treasury). The debt under Trump increased by 8.18 trillion dollars (Trillion with a T). By comparison, let’s look at the debt increase under the three previous presidencies. These presidents each served two terms for a total of 8 years. Therefore, a four-year average needs to be calculated for comparison purposes.

Bill Clinton (1993-2001) total increase 1.4 trillion dollars. Four-year average 0.7 trillion dollars.

George W. Bush (2001-2009) total increase 6.1 trillion dollars. Four-year average 3.05 trillion dollars.

Barack Obama (2009-2017) total increase 8.34 trillion dollars. Four-year average 4.17 trillion dollars.

Joe Biden (2021 to the present) total increase 6.17 trillion dollars. Extrapolating to four years would lead to about 7.2 trillion dollars. Increases in our debt have happened under both Republican and Democrat administrations. None have been especially good at living within a budget. All have claimed extenuating circumstances (wars, Covid, etc.).

Fact #2 – Trump’s businesses have not generally been successful. Trump University failed and was a disaster. His real estate deals were kept afloat by overestimating properties’ worth to obtain loans and underestimating their value for tax purposes. As a result of this tax evasion, Trump is now barred from doing business in New York.

I invite my readers to check out these figures.

In my post on Monday, I will continue my series on the unbelievable Trump. I will analyze Trump’s affirmations about crime in the United States, especially about crimes allegedly committed by undocumented immigrants.